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Middle East Escalation Rattles Asia Markets on July 13

Summarized from Forexlive

Iran-US strikes and Hormuz fears drove oil up 4%, sent Asian equities sharply lower, and shaped a volatile FX session across the Pacific.

Global markets opened the week under clear stress as a renewed wave of US strikes on Iranian targets — and Iran's retaliatory ballistic missile attack on Jordan — sent shockwaves through Asia-Pacific trading on July 13, 2026. Oil futures surged more than 3-4% at the Globex open, driven by fears that the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most critical energy chokepoints, could face sustained disruption. Gold, which typically benefits from geopolitical chaos, instead slid more than 1%, a counterintuitive move that analysts may link to a stronger dollar and Federal Reserve inflation warnings crowding out safe-haven demand.

Equity markets across the region absorbed the brunt of the risk-off sentiment. South Korean shares fell more than 5%, with profit-taking in semiconductor giant SK Hynix compounding the geopolitical anxiety. Japan's Nikkei also declined, while US and European futures pointed broadly lower, reflecting how completely the Middle East conflict had displaced other market narratives heading into the new trading week.

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On the monetary policy front, Goldman Sachs projected US core CPI would ease to 2.8% year-on-year in June — a figure that, if confirmed, would offer modest reassurance to rate markets, though the inflationary tail risk from an oil shock adds a meaningful complication. The Bank of Japan was separately reported to be holding rates steady at its upcoming meeting while potentially raising its 2026 growth forecast, suggesting Tokyo remains cautious about tightening into a fragile global environment.

Meanwhile, Angola's decision to add the Chinese yuan to its official bank reserve currency options alongside the dollar and euro offered a quiet but telling signal about how emerging markets are diversifying away from dollar-centric frameworks as Beijing's bilateral ties deepen. China's independent "teapot" oil refiners also shifted purchases toward Qatari, Iraqi, and UAE crude, apparently distancing themselves from Iranian supply amid the heightened volatility. New Zealand provided a rare bright spot, with its services PMI returning to expansion at 50.6 in June.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q.Why did oil prices jump more than 3% on July 13, 2026?

Oil surged after the US launched fresh strikes on Iranian targets and Iran retaliated with ballistic missiles, stoking fears of disruption to the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping lane for global energy supplies.

Q.Why did South Korean shares fall more than 5% during the Asia session?

South Korean equities declined sharply due to a combination of profit-taking in SK Hynix and broader risk-off sentiment triggered by escalating Middle East conflict between the US and Iran.

Q.What did Goldman Sachs forecast for US core CPI in June 2026?

Goldman Sachs expected US core CPI to ease to 2.8% year-on-year in June, which could offer some relief to rate markets, though an oil price shock from Middle East tensions complicates the inflation outlook.

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